各种理论各种猜测——第三集观后

原文是第一集观后感，后续增加了第二集 第三集的观后。
站内链接：
第二集https://movie.douban.com/review/7890509/
第一集https://movie.douban.com/review/7868526/
文章同时放在知乎相关问题下：
如何评价权力的游戏第六季第一集？
如何评价权力的游戏第六季第二集？
如何评价权力的游戏第六季第三集？

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我知道你们只是想问：极乐塔里到底是什么情况？？！！


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马丁大叔有一句很喜欢用的句子，在A Dance with Dragons里就出现了13次：
Words are wind. （语言就如同风一样。）

这句话作为本集的注脚堪称完美。
这一集的标题是Oathbreaker，剧情在各个故事线上都围绕『承诺』『誓言』展开。比较明显的有：囧雪离开守夜人队伍，安柏家族的Smalljon Umber背叛Stark家族。比较隐晦的有：艾利亚加入无面人（宣誓成为No one），龙女没有在卓戈死后第一时间去寡妇村（无疑也是Oathbreaker的行为），Varys威逼利诱Vala背弃自己的誓言说出鹰身女妖之子的真相，Sam之前答应和 Gilly一起，但是现在他要把Gilly送去Horn Hill，自己去Old Town等等。诚如我在之前第二集的评论里提到的，冰与火之歌的故事有一条隐含的，贯穿始终的关键信息：承诺 / 誓言。整个故事的发展，都围绕着角色们如何遵守/违背自己许下的承诺/誓言，如何以各种理由将自己背弃誓言的行为正当化。可以说，整个第三集就是集中强化这条隐含的故事线。

不废话，上干货：
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听说囧雪死掉的那一刹那，第五季尾，他的眼睛颜色变了~（你们看出来了吗看看出来了吗看看出来了吗？）
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囧雪是否有变化之谜

在新一集里，似乎囧雪还是那个囧雪。但是他到底变化了吗？？
囧雪的演员Kit Harrington去年撒了一年谎以后，现在轻松多了，关于归来的囧雪，他在接受采访的时候说了一番长篇大论，足以告知大家囧雪是否有了变化：
"At first, I was worried that he’ll wake up and he’s the same, back to normal — then there’s no point in that death. […] He needs to change. There’s a brilliant line when Melisandre asks: ‘What did you see?’ And he says: ‘Nothing, there was nothing at all.’ That cuts right to our deepest fear, that there’s nothing after death. And that’s the most important line in the whole season for me. Jon’s never been afraid of death, and that’s made him a strong and honorable person. He realizes something about his life now: He has to live it, because that’s all there is. He’s been over the line and there’s nothing there. And that changes him. It literally puts the fear of god into him."
『一开始，我也担心囧雪复活后还是一如既往，但是这样的话囧雪的死就变得毫无意义了……囧雪需要改变。囧雪复活后，梅姨问了一句话，非常关键：你死后看到了什么？囧雪回答：一片虚空，什么都没有。这个回答也是我们每个人深为恐惧的，人死如灯灭。这也是整季最让我动容的台词。囧雪之前从不畏惧死亡，这是他能心理强大，成为一个光明正大的人的原因。现在他意识到生命的意义了：活在当下，因为这就是生命的意义。他死过一回了，死后一片虚空。这一点深深改变了他，他开始有所畏惧了。』

所以，囧雪变了吗？他没变，但是他也变了。（我只是没想到编剧会如此深刻。。。）囧雪还是那个囧雪，但是他的三观已然发生了变化，就酱。

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极乐塔之谜
之前大家翘首期待揭秘囧雪身世的极乐塔情节，果然编剧牢牢抓住了这一话题，死活不肯松口。目前我们还不明了是否R+L=J, 但是

随着这一集的播放，一个流传不广，但非常有意思的理论又被摆上桌面，被大家热烈讨论起来：Meera 或许是囧雪的双胞胎姐妹。


注：Meera就是陪着布兰在洞穴里的女孩子。

Meera是Howland Reed的女儿，而Howland Reed就是在极乐塔情节里，帮助Ned以不光彩的手段从背后捅了Arhur Dayne一刀的那个哥们。

支持这个理论的理由有（有些理由真的有点牵强，但是别喷我，hold住下看）：
1. Meera与囧雪同年出生。
2. 从上图可看出，两人长得可真像，连发型都很像
3. Meera的长相与Arya和Lyanna用词接近，“short and slim（身材短小瘦削）”, “flat chested（平胸）”, 虽然没有说她美不美，但是Theon提到她很有魅力，布兰也承认他爱上了她。
4. Lyanna死于难产，比较有可能是因为生了双胞胎导致
5. A Storm of Swords 二十四章中，我们可以知道，Howland Reed曾经欠Lyanna一个人情，而且如果Ned最后带两个孩子回去，太招人耳目，所以将两个孩子分开，交由两个Lyanna都信任的人抚养，也是合情合理的。
6. 政治联姻在冰火中非常常见，北方的贵族通常蛮想和Stark家族联姻的，就像Kastark家族想把Alys嫁给萝卜，但是Howland Reed与Ned关系那么好，有个与Stark家族孩子年龄相仿的女儿，居然一点都没有这个意向，是不是意味着什么呢？？
7. Howland Reed出现在极乐塔的事件里，除了起到背后捅了一刀外，证明Ned也有不光彩的过去，应该还起到其他作用吧？？
8. 如果Meera是囧雪的姐妹，也是targaryen家族的后裔，那么龙女，囧雪和Meera刚好一人骑一条龙，那么三头龙的预言完美解决。

当然这个理论也并非完美，也有漏洞：
1. 原著中， Meera的眼珠是绿色的。Stark家族没有绿眼珠的，莱安娜和囧雪都是灰色眼珠，而Targaryen家族，最近几代都没有绿色的眼珠（除了之前提过的西拉 洋星有一只眼睛是绿色）。
2. Meera没有出现在任何预言当中。可以联想的空间非常有限。
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布兰穿越之谜
另外一个谜团，则是布兰喊了一声Father，而Ned转身四顾，仿佛听到了布兰的呼唤。面对布兰的疑问，三眼乌鸦说『The past is already written. The ink is dry.』——这是否意味着布兰有改变历史的能力？事实上，在原著中，有这方面的暗示，布兰可以与过去的人交流，但是能不能改变历史，目前还是不明朗的。
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在原著（A Dance with Dragons）中：布兰第一次用weirwood接触过去，他看见Ned在winterfell的神木林。布兰轻轻地说了句『WInterfell』，Ned似乎听到了这句话，回应道『谁？（Who's there?）』布兰认为Ned听到了，三眼乌鸦同样予以否认。三眼乌鸦说道：
“He heard a whisper on the wind, a rustling amongst the leaves. You cannot speak to him, try as you might. I know. I have my own ghosts, Bran. A brother that I loved, a brother that I hated, a woman I desired. Through the trees, I see them still, but no word of mine has ever reached them. The past remains the past. We can learn from it, but we cannot change it.”

在A Dance with Dragons四十六章中， "A Ghost in Winterfell", Theon在Winterfell的神木林的同一棵心树下，听到了有人叫他的名字。他以为是神在和他说话，他还听到了布兰的名字，还仿佛看到了心树上出现了布兰的脸。他不明白为什么布兰的鬼魂会出现在那里，还缠上了他。
The night was windless, the snow drifting straight down out of a cold black sky, yet the leaves of the heart tree were rustling his name. “Theon,” they seemed to whisper, “Theon.”
The old gods, he thought. [...] “Please.” He fell to his knees. “A sword, that’s all I ask. Let me die as Theon, not as Reek.” Tears trickled down his cheeks, impossibly warm. “I was ironborn. A son... a son of Pyke, of the islands.”
[...] “...Bran,” the tree murmured.
They know. The gods know. They saw what I did. And for one strange moment it seemed as if it were Bran’s face carved into the pale trunk of the weirwood, staring down at him with eyes red and wise and sad. Bran’s ghost, he thought, but that was madness. Why should Bran want to haunt him?

在A Clash of Kings中，囧雪也在心树上看到了布兰的脸，听到了布兰的声音。
The call came from behind him, softer than a whisper, but strong too. Can a shout be silent? He turned his head, searching for his brother, for a glimpse of a lean grey shape moving beneath the trees, but there was nothing, only…
A weirwood.
It seemed to sprout from solid rock, its pale roots twisting up from a myriad of fissures and hairline cracks. The tree was slender compared to other weirwoods he had seen, no more than a sapling, yet it was growing as he watched, its limbs thickening as they reached for the sky. Wary, he circled the smooth white trunk until he came to the face. Red eyes looked at him. Fierce eyes they were, yet glad to see him. The weirwood had his brother’s face. Had his brother always had three eyes?
Not always, came the silent shout. Not before the crow.
He sniffed at the bark, smelled wolf and tree and boy, but behind that there were other scents, the rich brown smell of warm earth and the hard grey smell of stone and something else, something terrible. Death, he knew. He was smelling death. He cringed back, his hair bristling, and bared his fangs.
Don’t be afraid, I like it in the dark. No one can see you, but you can see them. But first you have to open your eyes. See? Like this. And the tree reached down and touched him.

相同的情况出现多次，显然不可能是这三个人都出现了幻觉。所以唯一可能的解释就是布兰比三眼乌鸦更厉害，他不仅可以看到过去，甚至还可以与过去的人交谈。或者三眼乌鸦知道这一点，但是还不想让布兰意识到这一点。所以有相当一部分原著粉认为，当前发生的一切，可能就是未来的布兰干预下造成的。
在未来的剧情里，我们可以期待，布兰的这一疑似功能会发挥更大的作用，否则根本没有必要出现Ned似乎听见布兰的这一情节。

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小恶魔的身份之猜测
前文提到Meera身份的猜测，现在讲一下小恶魔的身份猜测。在第二集中，小恶魔顺利驯服二龙，也使得大家对于小恶魔的身份的怀疑加深了。这在第二集的评论中，我忘记提到了，现在这里补充一下。
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猜测——小恶魔是Targaryen家族的后裔，是伊利斯（龙女爸爸）和泰温老婆Joanna Lannister的儿子，因而如果猜测成立，他是龙女同父异母的兄弟，是囧雪的叔叔。
这样囧雪、龙女、小恶魔一人一条龙，不亦乐乎~

理由如下：
1. 小恶魔的眼珠颜色和发色与他爸泰温和詹姆，瑟曦不一样。电视剧里看不太出来，但是原著中还是非常明显的。泰温、詹姆和瑟曦是典型的Lannister家族长相，金发绿眸。但是书中，小恶魔是金到发白（pale blonde hair），既像狮子家金发，又有龙家白发的影子。小恶魔的两个眼珠颜色不一致，一个绿色一个黑色——通常是杂交的标志。
另外，小恶魔是侏儒，这也反应了Targaryen家族的特征，很多Targaryen家族的女性生出了畸形的孩子，半人半龙，身披鳞甲。就像龙女的第一个孩子一样。而Lannister家族长相俊美，没有畸形孩子的传统。。。

2. 伊利斯 和Joanna 似乎有不清白的历史。
Barristan Selmy对龙女提道：
Prince Aerys . . . as a youth, he was taken with a certain lady of Casterly Rock, a cousin of Tywin Lannister. When she and Tywin wed, your father drank too much wine at the wedding feast and was heard to say that it was a great pity that the lord’s right to the first night had been abolished.
大意就是伊利斯在泰温和Joanna的婚礼上酩酊大醉，透露想和新娘困觉（旧俗领主可以先于新郎和新娘睡，但是已经废除，伊利斯表示非常不开心）

另外，the World of Ice and Fire 一书中:
It has been reliably reported that King Aerys took unwonted liberties with Lady Joanna's person during her bedding ceremony, to Tywin's displeasure. Not long thereafter, Queen Rhaella dismissed Joanna Lannister from her service. No reason for this was ever given, but Lady Joanna departed at once from Casterly Rock and seldom visited King's Landing.
这一段是说伊利斯在Joanna的Bedding ceremony上举止失格（这个有点像我们的闹洞房的意思，男方亲友将新娘抬去婚房，女方亲友将新郎弄去婚房，途中可以开开玩笑，脱脱新娘衣服什么的）。泰温挺不高兴的。之后王后就将Joanna解雇了（之前Joanna是王后的lady-in-waiting，和我们说的私人助理差不多），Joanna之后就立刻离开了君临。

之后Joanna很少踏足君临，恰恰在提利昂出生的前一年，Joanna和泰温受邀参加了疯王的加冕十周年庆祝一类的活动。在典礼上，疯王伊利斯对Joanna进行了言语上的性骚扰。一年以后，小恶魔出生。

如果这个理论成立，也解释了为什么泰温如此憎恶小恶魔，恐怕不仅仅是因为他的难产导致爱妻丧命如此简单吧。

3. 小恶魔对龙情有独钟，曾经梦到自己骑龙回到维斯特洛。

4. 泰温不止一次说过小恶魔不是他的孩子。下面这段话尤其可疑：
You are an ill-made, spiteful little creature, full of envy, lust and low cunning. Men's laws give you the right to bear my name and display my colors, since I cannot prove that you are not mine.
（恶毒到我都不知道该怎么翻译了。。）你这个恶心的东西，充满嫉妒和欲望，狡猾卑劣。虽然世俗法律让你可以承袭我的姓名，但是这只是因为我没法证明你不是我的种。

5. 小恶魔虽然与石头人接触了，但是并没有患上灰鳞病，而Targaryen家族可能对该疾病免疫。而Jon Connington却得病了。而且小恶魔也躲过了血瘟。这一点龙女提到过，她认为他们家族天然免疫瘟疫：
“Have you ever seen a dragon with the flux?” Viserys had oft claimed that Targaryens were untroubled by the pestilences that afflicted common men, and so far as she could tell, it was true. She could remember being cold and hungry and afraid, but never sick.

6. 第三季最后，泰温和小恶魔说：I will raise you as my son. Because you are a Lannister. （我把你当儿子养大，因为你是Lannister家族的一员。）——这已经是赤裸裸的明示了吧？？虽然小恶魔不是泰温的儿子，但是好歹他妈是Lannister家的，所以小恶魔身上还是有Lannister家的血的。

7. 小恶魔妈妈死于难产，囧雪妈妈，龙女妈妈都死于难产，何其相似！

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不过有意思的是，还有种说法是，詹姆和瑟曦才是Targaryen家的，小恶魔才是正儿八经的Lannister（哈哈哈哈，大家脑洞都好大）
1. 泰温的妹妹Genna认为詹姆和瑟曦不是泰温的孩子，她对詹姆说：
Jaime, sweetling, I have known you since you were a babe at Joanna's breast. You smile like Gerion and fight like Tyg and there's some of Kevan in you, else you would not wear that cloak...but Tyrion is Tywin's son, not you. I said so once to your father's face, and he would not speak to me for half a year.
——A Feast for Crows
"詹姆小宝贝，你小时候吃奶的时候我就看着你了。你笑起来像Gerion，打起架来像Tyg，性格里又有点Kevan。但是提利昂是泰温儿子，你不是。我有次当你爸面说，他半年都不和我说话了。"

当然这里可以说是Genna认为小恶魔的机智聪慧像泰温。但是马丁大叔经常春秋笔法，或许这是他迂回告诉我们事实的真相呢？

2. 詹姆 瑟曦乱伦
乱伦这事好像是Targaryen家族的传统，Lannister家并无这项不良嗜好

3. Targaryen家族一般正统都是三个孩子（私生子不算），和『龙有三头』说法一致

4. 前文提到伊利斯在泰温的婚礼上失格，具体情况 Barristan Selmy也没有详细说，就是说着说着他脸红了没说下去，所以也许，伊利斯做了什么，所以詹姆和瑟曦并非泰温的孩子。

5. 原著中瑟曦行事疯狂，不计后果，颇有点疯王的意思，在提利昂杀了泰温逃离后，瑟曦放火烧了Tower of the Hand，这与疯王烧死 Qarlton Chelsted颇有类似之处。
詹姆也意识到了这一点，瑟曦疯狂的时候和疯王非常像：
Jaime knew the look in his sister's eyes. He had seen it before, most recently on the night of Tommen's wedding, when she burned the Tower of the Hand. The green light of the wildfire had bathed the face of the watchers, so they looked like nothing so much as rotting corpses, a pack of gleeful ghouls, but some of the corpses were prettier than others. Even in the baleful glow, Cersei had been beautiful to look upon. She'd stood with one hand on her breast, her lips parted, her green eyes shining. She is crying, Jaime had realized, but whether it was from grief or ecstasy he could not have said. The sight had filled him with disquiet, reminding him of Aerys Targaryen and the way a burning would arouse him.

还有
"Let all of King's Landings see the flames. It will be a lesson to our enemies."
"Now you sound like Aerys"

6. 詹姆做过一个奇异的梦：
“Will you forget your own lord father too? I wonder if you ever knew him, truly.” Her eyes were green, her hair spun gold. He could not tell how old she was. Fifteen, he thought, or fifty. She climbed the steps to stand above the bier. “He could never abide being laughed at. That was the thing he hated most.”
“Who are you?” He had to hear her say it.
“The question is, who are you?”
“This is a dream.”
“Is it?” She smiled sadly. “Count your hands, child.”
One. One hand, clasped tight around the sword hilt. Only one. “In my dreams I always have two hands.” He raised his right arm and stared uncomprehending at the ugliness of his stump.
“We all dream of things we cannot have. Tywin dreamed that his son would be a great knight, that his daughter would be a queen. He dreamed they would be so strong and brave and beautiful that no one would ever laugh at them.”
“I am a knight,” he told her, “and Cersei is a queen.”
A tear rolled down her cheek. The woman raised her hood again and turned her back on him. Jaime called after her, but already she was moving away, her skirt whispering lullabies as it brushed across the floor. Don't leave me, he wanted to call, but of course she'd left them long ago.
A Storm of Swords
他梦见一个神秘的金发绿眸的女人，问他："你会忘记你的父亲吗？你真正了解过他吗？他最恨被人嘲笑"。这个神秘的女人让詹姆看看自己的双手。詹姆发现梦里自己只有一只手。然后神秘女子说了关键的话『梦里我们都希望能拥有自己没有的东西。泰温梦见儿子是伟大的骑士，女儿是王后。他梦见他们身体强健、英勇无比、美丽动人，这样就没人会嘲笑他们了。』詹姆说：『我的确是骑士，瑟曦的确是王后呀！』神秘的女人流下了泪水，离开了。

7. 瑟曦喜欢雷加，这符合Targaryen家族女性成员喜欢兄弟的癖好。

8. 泰温的父亲叫Tytos ，泰温叫Tywin，小恶魔叫Tyrion，以Ty-开头的规则，是否暗示着这才是真正的家族传承呢？詹姆和瑟曦并不符合这个取名规则。

9. 詹姆被称为Kingslayer（弑君者），而弑亲者则是Kinslayer，两者发音一模一样。如果詹姆是疯王的儿子，那么他也是Kinslayer。一语双关。

所以你觉得呢？到底谁才是泰温的真正孩儿？？

还记得我在第二集评论里说到，瑟曦的预言里她最后会被自己的兄弟杀死吗？ 如果小恶魔根本不算她的亲兄弟，那么杀死她的只能是詹姆了。
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第四集预告
“Book of the Stranger” ——陌生人之书
“Tyrion strikes a deal. Jorah and Daario undertake a difficult task. Jaime and Cersei try to improve their situation.”小恶魔达成交易。乔拉和达里奥任务艰巨。詹姆和瑟曦试图改变自己的处境。

在HBO已经放出的预告片中，我们可以知道：
1. Sansa一行人到达了某个地方，是黑城堡吗？？
2. 小指头知道sansa已经逃离。
3. 席恩回到了自己家，但是他姐看上去并不是很高兴。
4. 乔拉和达里奥打算救出龙女。
5. 小玫瑰的情况似乎有变化。百花骑士情况不妙。

第五集预告
“The Door”——大门
“Tyrion seeks a strange ally. Bran learns a great deal. Brienne goes on a mission. Arya is given a chance to prove herself.”
提利昂寻求奇怪的同盟。布兰所获良多。布蕾妮身负重任。艾丽娅有机会证明自己。
——我们期待的极乐塔的秘密，看来在第五集会得到进一步的解释！！！我们放不下，布兰也放不下啊！！